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The Japanese yen faces new risks. Strategists worry that the Bank of Japan may wait until March or later to raise interest rates. A new risk is emerging for the Japanese yen. Foreign exchange strategists in Tokyo warn that the Bank of Japan may wait until March or later next year to raise interest rates. On Wednesday, the market tasted this danger, and the yen fell to its lowest level in more than two weeks as traders responded to a Bloomberg report that the Bank of Japan is known to think that it is no harm to raise interest rates later. The yen only fell to 152.82 against the dollar, and the market is still debating whether the Bank of Japan will take action at its next meeting on December 19 or about a month later. Shusuke Yamada, head of Japan's foreign exchange and interest rate strategy at Bank of America in Tokyo, said that if policymakers put off raising interest rates for a longer time, the situation would be very different. "If the interest rate hike is postponed until March, the yen carry trade is likely to make a comeback," Yamada said on Thursday. "The yen is likely to fall again to a level just below the 157 mark hit in 155 or November."Seven members of South Korea's ruling party announced that they would support the impeachment of Yin Xiyue. On the afternoon of the 12th local time, another member of South Korea's ruling National Power Party, Han Zhiya, announced that he would vote in favor of the impeachment of President Yin Xiyue on the 14th. Up to now, seven members of the National Power Party have publicly expressed their support for the impeachment of President Yin Xiyue. According to outside analysis, this means that the possibility of Yin Xiyue's impeachment case being passed in the South Korean National Assembly is further increased. (CCTV News)Adobe's US stocks fell about 9% before the market, and the company's annual performance guidance was worse than expected.

People's Insurance Company of China: In the first November, the original insurance premium income of the three subsidiaries totaled 646.933 billion yuan. From January 1, 2024 to November 30, 2024, the original insurance premium income obtained through the subsidiaries of China People's Property Insurance Co., Ltd., China People's Life Insurance Co., Ltd. and China People's Health Insurance Co., Ltd. was 496.845 billion yuan, 102.591 billion yuan and 47.497 billion yuan respectively.Treasury futures turned green for 30 years, and treasury futures turned down. The 30-year main contracts turned green and fell by 0.03% to 116.94. The 10-year main contract was reported at 108.17, and the increase narrowed to 0.02%.US Treasury Secretary Yellen: The oil market is well supplied and the price is relatively low. US Treasury Secretary Yellen said that the oil market is well supplied and the price is relatively low. Russia has invested a lot of money in its fleet to avoid the western oil price cap sanctions.

Nordic United Bank: The risk of the European Central Bank cutting interest rates by 50 basis points cannot be ignored. Nordic United Bank said that the European Central Bank may cut interest rates by 25 basis points again, but there is also a significant risk of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. The differences within the Committee have intensified again, and it is not easy for Lagarde to get another consistent compromise. A possible compromise is to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, and at the same time, some guidelines are given, indicating that as long as the ECB's benchmark view remains unchanged, it may cut interest rates again in January. Our benchmark expectation is still to cut interest rates by 25 basis points before the meeting in April next year, when the deposit interest rate is expected to reach 2.25%.The Polish minister said that Poland hopes that more countries will participate in Baltic policing, the EU must spend at least 100 billion euros on national defense, and the conditions for sending Polish MIG -29 fighters to Ukraine have not been met.IEA Monthly Report: The daily output of the refinery will reach the annual peak of 84.3 million barrels in December. It is estimated that in 2024, the daily output of the refinery will increase by 520,000 barrels to an average of 82.7 million barrels per day. It is estimated that in 2025, the daily output of refineries will increase by 620,000 barrels to an average of 83.3 million barrels per day.